SOC 51-3011
Bakers
Risk Score
โ ๏ธ57/100
Elevated
US Employment
๐ฅ231,890
Total workers
Median Wage
๐ฐ$37K
$28K โ $48K
Projected Growth
๐+5.6%
2023-2033 (BLS)
GenAI Exposure
๐ค31/100
Moderate exposure
๐ก Bakers face a risk score of 57/100 โ 13 points above the national average of 44. With only 31/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology โ
๐ก Workers in this field earn $37K. The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ
๐ AI Impact Analysis
With a risk score of 57/100, Bakers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like industrial robotics replacing manual assembly tasks are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 231,890 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in setup and calibration of custom production runs and handling non-standard materials and configurations to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.
Will AI Replace Bakers?
Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ
โ ๏ธ Top Risk Factors
Industrial robotics replacing manual assembly tasks
AI quality inspection via computer vision systems
Automated CNC programming and machine operation
Cobots handling repetitive material handling tasks
๐ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation
Setup and calibration of custom production runs
Handling non-standard materials and configurations
Quality judgment requiring tactile and visual inspection
Coordinating workflow across diverse production teams
๐ Task Automation Breakdown
Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.
๐ O*NET Task Profile
Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.
Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.
Combine measured ingredients in bowls of mixing, blending, or cooking machinery.
Place dough in pans, molds, or on sheets, and bake in production ovens or on grills.
Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
๐ป Technology Skills
Time accounting software
Enterprise resource planning ERP software
Data base user interface and query software
Analytical or scientific software
Electronic mail software
๐ Key Knowledge Areas
Production and Processing
Customer and Personal Service
Food Production
English Language
Mathematics
๐ vs National Average
National avg: $46K
National avg: 44/100
National avg: 38/100
National avg: 3.7%
๐ Career Transition Paths
| Occupation | Risk | Wage | Overlap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Engineers | 20 | $106K | 59% |
| First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 25 | $62K | 69% |
| Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers | 33 | $68K | 78% |