62
/100

SOC 53-3051

Bus Drivers, School

High RiskFrey/Osborne: 89.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

62/100

High Risk

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

387,920

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$47K

$28K โ€“ $64K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+0.2%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

48/100

Moderate exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Bus Drivers, School face a risk score of 62/100 โ€” 18 points above the national average of 44. With only 48/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $47K ($730 above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 62/100, Bus Drivers, School faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 387,920 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in emergency situation response and quick decision-making and navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Bus Drivers, School?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs

2

Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems

3

AI traffic management and fleet coordination

4

AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

โœ“

Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions

โœ“

Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Check the condition of a vehicle's tires, brakes, windshield wipers, lights, oil, fuel, water, and safety equipment to ensure that everything is in working order.

โ€ข

Comply with traffic regulations to operate vehicles in a safe and courteous manner.

โ€ข

Drive gasoline, diesel, or electrically powered multi-passenger vehicles to transport students between neighborhoods, schools, and school activities.

โ€ข

Escort small children across roads and highways.

โ€ข

Follow safety rules as students board and exit buses or cross streets near bus stops.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Map creation software

โ€ข

Operating system software

โ€ข

Internet browser software

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$47K
+$730

National avg: $46K

Risk Score62/100
+18

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure48/100
+10

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth0.2%
-3.5%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K74%
Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors29$64K81%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K77%