38
/100

SOC 27-1021

Commercial and Industrial Designers

ModerateFrey/Osborne: 3.7%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

38/100

Moderate

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

30,250

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$79K

$49K โ€“ $135K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+3.2%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

83/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Commercial and Industrial Designers face a risk score of 38/100 โ€” 6 points below the national average of 44. With 83/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $79K ($33K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 38/100, Commercial and Industrial Designers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like ai music composition and audio production are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 30,250 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in original creative vision and artistic direction and live performance and audience engagement to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Commercial and Industrial Designers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

AI music composition and audio production

2

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

3

AI copywriting tools reducing editorial demand

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Original creative vision and artistic direction

โœ“

Live performance and audience engagement

โœ“

Emotionally resonant storytelling and narrative craft

โœ“

Collaborative creative ideation and brainstorming

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

โ€ข

Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

โ€ข

Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

โ€ข

Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

โ€ข

Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Computer aided manufacturing CAM software

โ€ข

Document management software

โ€ข

Video creation and editing software

โ€ข

Graphics or photo imaging software

โ€ข

Desktop publishing software

๐ŸŽ“ Key Knowledge Areas

โ€ข

Design

โ€ข

Engineering and Technology

โ€ข

Production and Processing

โ€ข

Mechanical

โ€ข

Computers and Electronics

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$79K
+$33K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score38/100
-6

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure83/100
+45

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth3.2%
-0.5%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Fashion Designers23$81K75%
Special Effects Artists and Animators25$100K71%
Artists and Related Workers, All Other23$73K80%