50
/100

SOC 53-2012

Commercial Pilots

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 55.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

50/100

Elevated

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

51,830

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$123K

$59K โ€“ $0

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+5.1%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

70/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Commercial Pilots face a risk score of 50/100 โ€” 6 points above the national average of 44. With 70/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $123K ($76K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions offer lower AI risk while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 50/100, Commercial Pilots faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like ai-generated written content replacing manual drafting are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 51,830 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in emergency situation response and quick decision-making and customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Commercial Pilots?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

AI-generated written content replacing manual drafting

2

Drone delivery displacing last-mile logistics workers

3

Automated data interpretation and insight generation

4

Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

โœ“

Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

โœ“

Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles

โœ“

Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

โ€ข

Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

โ€ข

Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

โ€ข

Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

โ€ข

Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Graphics or photo imaging software

โ€ข

Charting software

โ€ข

Information retrieval or search software

โ€ข

Project management software

โ€ข

Data base user interface and query software

๐ŸŽ“ Key Knowledge Areas

โ€ข

Customer and Personal Service

โ€ข

English Language

โ€ข

Transportation

โ€ข

Geography

โ€ข

Public Safety and Security

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$123K
+$76K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score50/100
+6

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure70/100
+32

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth5.1%
+1.4%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K75%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K73%
Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers37$227K71%