54
/100

SOC 19-3093

Historians

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 44.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

54/100

Elevated

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

3,140

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$74K

$39K โ€“ $129K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+2.2%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

86/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Historians face a risk score of 54/100 โ€” 10 points above the national average of 44. With 86/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $74K ($28K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 54/100, Historians faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like ai-accelerated data analysis and pattern recognition are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 3,140 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in interpreting ambiguous results with domain expertise and designing novel experiments and research methodologies to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Historians?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

AI-accelerated data analysis and pattern recognition

2

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

3

AI-powered research and literature review tools

4

Generative AI producing marketing and creative copy

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Interpreting ambiguous results with domain expertise

โœ“

Designing novel experiments and research methodologies

โœ“

Ethical oversight of research involving human subjects

โœ“

Collaborative scientific discourse and peer review

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

โ€ข

Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

โ€ข

Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

โ€ข

Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

โ€ข

Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Document management software

โ€ข

Web page creation and editing software

โ€ข

Desktop publishing software

โ€ข

Graphics or photo imaging software

โ€ข

Information retrieval or search software

๐ŸŽ“ Key Knowledge Areas

โ€ข

History and Archeology

โ€ข

English Language

โ€ข

Customer and Personal Service

โ€ข

Administrative

โ€ข

Geography

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$74K
+$28K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score54/100
+10

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure86/100
+48

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth2.2%
-1.5%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Social Scientists and Related Workers21$93K81%
Political Scientists25$139K73%
Occupational Health and Safety Specialists and Technicians26$79K71%