65
/100

SOC 53-4031

Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters

High RiskFrey/Osborne: 83.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

65/100

High Risk

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

42,710

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$74K

$53K โ€“ $103K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+1.1%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

84/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters face a risk score of 65/100 โ€” 21 points above the national average of 44. With 84/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $74K ($28K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 65/100, Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like ai coding assistants reducing developer demand are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 42,710 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in emergency situation response and quick decision-making and navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

AI coding assistants reducing developer demand

2

AI traffic management and fleet coordination

3

Chatbot displacement of customer-facing interactions

4

AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

โœ“

Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions

โœ“

Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Signal engineers to begin train runs, stop trains, or change speed, using telecommunications equipment or hand signals.

โ€ข

Confer with engineers regarding train routes, timetables, and cargoes, and to discuss alternative routes when there are rail defects or obstructions.

โ€ข

Receive information regarding train or rail problems from dispatchers or from electronic monitoring devices.

โ€ข

Receive instructions from dispatchers regarding trains' routes, timetables, and cargoes.

โ€ข

Direct and instruct workers engaged in yard activities, such as switching tracks, coupling and uncoupling cars, and routing inbound and outbound traffic.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Industrial control software

โ€ข

Materials requirements planning logistics and supply chain software

โ€ข

Inventory management software

โ€ข

Spreadsheet software

โ€ข

Office suite software

๐ŸŽ“ Key Knowledge Areas

โ€ข

Public Safety and Security

โ€ข

Transportation

โ€ข

English Language

โ€ข

Education and Training

โ€ข

Law and Government

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$74K
+$28K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score65/100
+21

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure84/100
+46

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth1.1%
-2.6%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K70%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K83%
Ship Engineers33$101K79%