SOC 53-3052
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
Risk Score
โ ๏ธ57/100
Elevated
US Employment
๐ฅ148,980
Total workers
Median Wage
๐ฐ$57K
$38K โ $83K
Projected Growth
๐+4.3%
2023-2033 (BLS)
GenAI Exposure
๐ค59/100
Moderate exposure
๐ก Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity face a risk score of 57/100 โ 13 points above the national average of 44. With 59/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology โ
๐ก Workers in this field earn $57K ($11K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ
๐ AI Impact Analysis
With a risk score of 57/100, Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 148,980 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery and navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.
Will AI Replace Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity?
Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ
โ ๏ธ Top Risk Factors
Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology
AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles
Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs
Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems
๐ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation
Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery
Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions
Emergency situation response and quick decision-making
Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo
๐ Task Automation Breakdown
Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.
๐ O*NET Task Profile
Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.
Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.
Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.
Announce stops to passengers.
Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.
๐ป Technology Skills
Map creation software
Operating system software
Internet browser software
๐ Key Knowledge Areas
Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Public Safety and Security
English Language
Law and Government
๐ vs National Average
National avg: $46K
National avg: 44/100
National avg: 38/100
National avg: 3.7%
๐ Career Transition Paths
| Occupation | Risk | Wage | Overlap |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 25 | $62K | 79% |
| Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 29 | $64K | 71% |
| Air Transportation Workers | 31 | $107K | 82% |