57
/100

SOC 53-4022

Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 83.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

57/100

Elevated

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

12,460

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$65K

$44K โ€“ $81K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+1%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

38/100

Moderate exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers face a risk score of 57/100 โ€” 13 points above the national average of 44. With only 38/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $65K ($19K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 57/100, Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 12,460 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in navigating complex urban environments with obstacles and customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology

2

AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles

3

Drone delivery displacing last-mile logistics workers

4

Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles

โœ“

Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

โœ“

Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions

โœ“

Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.

โ€ข

Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.

โ€ข

Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.

โ€ข

Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.

โ€ข

Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Data base user interface and query software

โ€ข

Expert system software

โ€ข

Spreadsheet software

โ€ข

Electronic mail software

โ€ข

Route navigation software

๐ŸŽ“ Key Knowledge Areas

โ€ข

Transportation

โ€ข

Public Safety and Security

โ€ข

Mechanical

โ€ข

English Language

โ€ข

Customer and Personal Service

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$65K
+$19K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score57/100
+13

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure38/100
0

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth1.0%
-2.7%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K84%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K82%
Ship Engineers33$101K78%