34
/100

SOC 53-4000

Rail Transportation Workers

ModerateFrey/Osborne: 40.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

34/100

Moderate

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

101,190

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$76K

$51K โ€“ $98K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

+1.2%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

35/100

Moderate exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Rail Transportation Workers face a risk score of 34/100 โ€” 10 points below the national average of 44. With only 35/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $76K ($30K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 34/100, Rail Transportation Workers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 101,190 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in navigating complex urban environments with obstacles and emergency situation response and quick decision-making to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Rail Transportation Workers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology

2

AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles

3

AI traffic management and fleet coordination

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles

โœ“

Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

โœ“

Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo

โœ“

Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$76K
+$30K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score34/100
-10

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure35/100
-3

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth1.2%
-2.5%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K83%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K81%
Ship Engineers33$101K77%