68
/100

SOC 43-5052

Postal Service Mail Carriers

High RiskFrey/Osborne: 68.0%

Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

68/100

High Risk

US Employment

๐Ÿ‘ฅ

336,040

Total workers

Median Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$57K

$42K โ€“ $77K

Projected Growth

๐Ÿ“ˆ

-3.5%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

๐Ÿค–

95/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Postal Service Mail Carriers face a risk score of 68/100 โ€” 24 points above the national average of 44. With 95/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite weak projected growth. See our methodology โ†’

๐Ÿ’ก Workers in this field earn $57K ($11K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths โ†’

๐Ÿ” AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 68/100, Postal Service Mail Carriers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like automated invoice and expense processing are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 336,040 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in managing sensitive interpersonal workplace situations and building trust-based relationships with executives to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Postal Service Mail Carriers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths โ†’

โš ๏ธ Top Risk Factors

1

Automated invoice and expense processing

2

AI-powered research and literature review tools

3

Automated data interpretation and insight generation

4

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tasks Safe from Automation

โœ“

Managing sensitive interpersonal workplace situations

โœ“

Building trust-based relationships with executives

โœ“

Coordinating complex multi-party events and logistics

๐Ÿ“Š Task Automation Breakdown

Based on O*NET task analysis and GenAI exposure scoring. Shows the estimated proportion of this occupation's core tasks that are automatable by current AI, augmented by AI tools, or require essential human skills.

๐Ÿ“‹ O*NET Task Profile

โ€ข

Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

โ€ข

Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

โ€ข

Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

โ€ข

Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

โ€ข

Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

๐Ÿ’ป Technology Skills

โ€ข

Data base user interface and query software

โ€ข

Enterprise resource planning ERP software

โ€ข

Map creation software

โ€ข

Time accounting software

โ€ข

Office suite software

๐ŸŽ“ Key Knowledge Areas

โ€ข

Customer and Personal Service

โ€ข

English Language

โ€ข

Public Safety and Security

โ€ข

Sales and Marketing

โ€ข

Transportation

๐Ÿ“Š vs National Average

Median Wage$57K
+$11K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score68/100
+24

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure95/100
+57

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth-3.5%
-7.2%

National avg: 3.7%

๐Ÿ”„ Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers23$66K75%
Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers16$145K69%
Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers17$144K67%